Bitcoin's lack of fresh investors matters more than Strategy's sale, Citi says

Strategy's unloading of bitcoin may have rattled markets, but Citi said the bigger issue for BTC is a missing bid from new buyers....
Key takeaways
- 1Citi estimates spot bitcoin ETF flows explain roughly 45% of weekly BTC price moves and serve as best investor adoption gauge.
- 2Strategy's bitcoin sale was part of pre-disclosed tax-optimization plan; lack of new investors is the real concern, not the sale itself.
- 3Recent ETF flows turned negative and U.S. crypto market structure bill passage chances are diminishing, keeping sentiment subdued.
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Why it matters
For Indian retail investors, this signals that bitcoin's price momentum depends on sustained institutional inflows via ETFs rather than corporate treasury buying. Declining ETF flows and stalled U.S. regulatory progress suggest near-term weakness, making this a critical period to monitor before any potential recovery catalysts emerge.
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